Associations Between Acute Conflict and Maternal Care Usage in Egypt: An Uncontrolled Before-and-After Study Using Demographic and Health Survey Data

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Global Health and Development, Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK

2 Department of Medical Statistics, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK

Abstract

Background
United Nations’ (UN) data indicate that conflict-affected low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) contribute considerably to global maternal deaths. Maternal care usage patterns during conflict have not been rigorously quantitatively examined for policy insights. This study analysed associations between acute conflict and maternal services usage and quality in Egypt using reliable secondary data (as conflict-affected settings generally lack reliable primary data).
 
Methods
An uncontrolled before-and-after study used data from the 2014 Egypt Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS). The ‘pre-conflict sample’ included births occurring from January 2009 to January 2011. The ‘peri-conflict sample’ included births from February 2011 to December 2012. The hierarchical nature of demographic and household survey (DHS) data was addressed using multi-level modelling (MLM).
 
Results
In total, 2569 pre-conflict and 4641 peri-conflict births were reported. After adjusting for socioeconomic variables, conflict did not significantly affect antenatal service usage. Compared to the pre-conflict period, peri-conflict births had slightly lower odds of delivery in public institutions (odds ratio [OR]: 0.987; 95% CI: 0.975-0.998; P < .05), institutional postnatal care (OR: 0.995; 95% CI: 0.98-1.00; P = .05), and at least 24 hours post-delivery stay (OR: 0.921; 95% CI: 0.906-0.935; P < .01). Peri-conflict births had relatively higher odds of doctor-assisted deliveries (OR: 1.021; 95% CI: 1.004-1.035; P < .05), institutional deliveries (OR: 1.022; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04; P < .05), private institutional deliveries (OR: 1.035; 95% CI: 1.017-1.05; P < .001), and doctor-assisted postnatal care (OR: 1.015; 95% CI: 1.003-1.027; P < .05). Sensitivity analysis did not change results significantly.
 
Conclusion
Maternal care showed limited associations with the acute conflict, generally reflecting pre-conflict usage patterns. Further qualitative and quantitative research could identify the effects of larger conflicts on maternal care-seeking and usage, and inform approaches to building health system resilience.

Highlights

Supplementary File 1 (Download)

Keywords

Main Subjects


  1. O'Hare BA, Southall DP. First do no harm: the impact of recent armed conflict on maternal and child health in Sub-Saharan Africa. J R Soc Med. 2007;100(12):564-570. doi:10.1177/0141076807100012015
  2. International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). Health Care in Danger: Making the case. ICRC; 2011. http://www.icrc.org/eng/resources/documents/publication/p4072.htm.
  3. International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Armed Conflict Survey. Washington DC; Routledge; 2015.
  4. United Nations. Sustainable development and progress in conflict-affected countries. New York: United Nations; 2015.
  5. United Nations. Post-MDG Agenda. New York: United Nations; 2012.
  6. UNFPA. Protecting Mothers in Risky Situations. New York: UNFPA; 2013.
  7. Nordenstedt H, Rosling H. Chasing 60% of maternal deaths in the post-fact era. Lancet. 2016;388(10054):1864-1865. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31793-7
  8. D'Aoust O, Guha-Sapir D, Group TWB. Demographic and Health Consequences of Civil Conflict. Washington, DC: World Bank; 2010.
  9. United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). Accounting for Security and Justice in the Post-2015 Development Agenda. New York: UNODC; 2013.
  10. World Development Report. Conflict, Security, and Development. Washington, DC: World Bank; 2011
  11. United Nations. Addressing conflict-related sexual violence: an inventory of peace keeping practice. UN Women; 2010.
  12. Devkota B, van Teijlingen ER. Understanding effects of armed conflict on health outcomes: the case of Nepal. Confl Health. 2010;4:20. doi:10.1186/1752-1505-4-20
  13. Horton S, Levin C. Cost-Effectiveness of Interventions for Reproductive, Maternal, Neonatal, and Child Health. In: Black RE, Laxminarayan R, Temmerman M, Walker N. Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health: Disease Control Priorities, Third Edition (Volume 2). 2nd ed. Washington DC: The World Bank; 2016. https://globalalliancematernalmentalhealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/Bookshelf_NBK361907.pdf.
  14. Maher S. The Political Economy of the Egyptian Uprising. Mon Rev. 2011;63(6):32. doi:10.14452/MR-063-06-2011-10_2
  15. Abdou DS, Zaazou Z. The Egyptian revolution and socio-economic impact. Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies. 2013;15(1):92-115.
  16. Devi S. Women's health challenges in post-revolutionary Egypt. Lancet. 2013;381(9879):1705-1706. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61060-0
  17. Adam M. Health Ministry continues to hold out against doctors’ strike - Egypt. Egypt: Independent; 2012. https://www.egyptindependent.com/health-ministry-continues-hold-out-against-doctors-strike/.
  18. Southall DP, O'Hare BA. Empty arms: the effect of the arms trade on mothers and children. BMJ. 2002;325(7378):1457-1461.
  19. Ministry of Health and Population, Egypt. Egypt Demographic and Health Survey 2014. Cairo: Ministry of Health and Population; 2015.
  20. World Health Organization (WHO). Country cooperation strategy for WHO and Egypt 2010-2014. Cairo: WHO; 2010.
  21. The World Bank. A roadmap to achieve social justice in health care in Egypt. Washington DC; World Bank; 2015.
  22. The World Bank. Knowledge Brief Egypt. Washington DC: World Bank; 2014.
  23. Chiang C, Elshair IH, Kawaguchi L, et al. Improvements in the status of women and increased use of maternal health services in rural Egypt. Nagoya J Med Sci. 2012;74(3-4):233-240.
  24. Chiang C, Labeeb SA, Higuchi M, Mohamed AG, Aoyama A. Barriers to the use of basic health services among women in rural southern Egypt (Upper Egypt). Nagoya J Med Sci. 2013;75(3-4):225-231.
  25. Grimshaw J, Campbell M, Eccles M, Steen N. Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for evaluating guideline implementation strategies. Fam Pract. 2000;17 Suppl 1:S11-16.
  26. Worku AG, Yalew AW, Afework MF. Factors affecting utilization of skilled maternal care in Northwest Ethiopia: a multilevel analysis. BMC Int Health Hum Rights. 2013;13(1):20. doi:10.1186/1472-698x-13-20
  27. Leyland AH, Groenewegen PP. Multilevel modelling and public health policy. Scand J Public Health. 2003;31(4):267-274.
  28. Raudenbush SW, Bryk AS. Hierarchical Linear Models: Applications and Data Analysis Methods. Sage Publications, Inc; 2002.
  29. Pickett KE, Pearl M. Multilevel analyses of neighbourhood socioeconomic context and health outcomes: a critical review. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2001;55(2):111-122.
  30. Yebyo H, Alemayehu M, Kahsay A. Why do women deliver at home? Multilevel modeling of Ethiopian National Demographic and Health Survey data. PLoS One. 2015;10(4):e0124718. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0124718
  31. Carle AC. Fitting multilevel models in complex survey data with design weights: Recommendations. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2009;9:49. doi:10.1186/1471-2288-9-49
  32. Kreft I, de Leeuw J. Introducing multivlevel modeling. Thousand Oaks, CA, US: Sage Publications, Inc; 1998. doi:10.4135/9781849209366
  33. Asparouhov T, Muthen B. Multilevel Modeling of Complex Survey Data. https://www.statmodel.com/download/SurveyJSM1.pdf. Published 2000.
  34. Rabe-Hesketh S, Skrondal A. Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling Using Stata. 2nd ed. Stata Press; 2008.
  35. World Health Organization (WHO). Postnatal Care for Mothers and Newborns: Highlights from the World Health Organization 2013 Guidelines. Geneva: WHO; 2015. http://www.who.int/maternal_child_adolescent/publications/WHO-MCA-PNC-2014-Briefer_A4.pdf.
  36. Ronsmans C, Graham WJ. Maternal mortality: who, when, where, and why. Lancet. 2006;368(9542):1189-1200. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)69380-x
  37. World Health Organization (WHO). Maternal mortality in 1990-2015: WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, World Bank Group, and United Nations Population Division Maternal Mortality Estimation Inter-Agency Group. Cairo: WHO; 2015. http://www.who.int/gho/maternal_health/countries/egy.pdf.
  38. Abbas AM, Amin MT, Ali SS, Salem NZ. Maternal mortality: a tertiary care hospital experience in Upper Egypt. Int J Reprod Contracept Obstet Gynecol. 2016;5(5):1466-1471. doi:10.18203/2320-1770.ijrcog20161306
  39. Haar RJ, Footer KH, Singh S, et al. Measurement of attacks and interferences with health care in conflict: validation of an incident reporting tool for attacks on and interferences with health care in eastern Burma. Confl Health. 2014;8(1):23. doi:10.1186/1752-1505-8-23
  40. Lassi ZS, Aftab W, Ariff S, et al. Impact of service provision platforms on maternal and newborn health in conflict areas and their acceptability in Pakistan: a systematic review. Confl Health. 2015;9(1):25. doi:10.1186/s13031-015-0054-5
  41. Kabakian-Khasholian T, Shayboub R, El-Kak F. Seeking maternal care at times of conflict: the case of Lebanon. Health Care Women Int. 2013;34(5):352-362. doi:10.1080/07399332.2012.736570
  42. Van Damme W, De Brouwere V, Boelaert M, Van Lerberghe W. Effects of a refugee-assistance programme on host population in Guinea as measured by obstetric interventions. Lancet. 1998;351(9116):1609-1613. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(97)10348-8
  43. Kottegoda S, Samuel K, Emmanuel S. Reproductive health concerns in six conflict-affected areas of Sri Lanka. Reprod Health Matters. 2008;16(31):75-82. doi:10.1016/s0968-8080(08)31359-7
  44. Outram Q. ‘It's terminal either way’: an analysis of armed conflict in liberia, 1989-1996. Rev Afr Polit Econ. 1997;24(73):355-371. doi:10.1080/03056249708704268
  45. Bhandari TR, Sarma PS, Kutty VR. Utilization of maternal health care services in post-conflict Nepal. Int J Womens Health. 2015;7:783-790. doi:10.2147/ijwh.s90556
  46. Philips M, Derderian K. Health in the service of state-building in fragile and conflict affected contexts: an additional challenge in the medical-humanitarian environment. Confl Health. 2015;9:13. doi:10.1186/s13031-015-0039-4
  47. Hughes J, Hooley T, Hage S, Ingram G. Implementing the New Deal for Fragile States. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution; 2014
  48. Woodward A, Sondorp E, Witter S, Martineau T. Health systems research in fragile and conflict-affected states: a research agenda-setting exercise. Health Res Policy Syst. 2016;14(1):51. doi:10.1186/s12961-016-0124-1
  49. Price JI, Bohara AK. Maternal health care amid political unrest: the effect of armed conflict on antenatal care utilization in Nepal. Health Policy Plan. 2013;28(3):309-319. doi:10.1093/heapol/czs062
  50. Bosmans M, Nasser D, Khammash U, Claeys P, Temmerman M. Palestinian women's sexual and reproductive health rights in a longstanding humanitarian crisis. Reprod Health Matters. 2008;16(31):103-111. doi:10.1016/s0968-8080(08)31343-3
  51. Jamieson DJ, Meikle SF, Hillis SD, Mtsuko D, Mawji S, Duerr A. An evaluation of poor pregnancy outcomes among Burundian refugees in Tanzania. JAMA. 2000;283(3):397-402.
  52. Howard N, Kollie S, Souare Y, et al. Reproductive health services for refugees by refugees in Guinea I: family planning. Confl Health. 2008;2(1):12. doi:10.1186/1752-1505-2-12
  53. Rahman L, Rob U, Mahmud R, et al. A pay-for-performance innovation integrating the quantity and quality of care in maternal, newborn and child health services in Bangladesh: P4P Final Report. Dhaka: Population Council; 2011.
  54. Sondorp E, Palmer N, Strong L, Wali A. Afghanistan: Paying NGOs for performance in a postconflict setting. In: Eichler R, Levine R, ed. Performance Incentives for Global Health: Potential and Pitfalls. Washington, DC: Center for Global Development; 2009:139-164.
  55. Huntington D, Zaky HH, Shawky S, Fattah FA, El-Hadary E. Impact of a service provider incentive payment scheme on quality of reproductive and child-health services in Egypt. J Health Popul Nutr. 2010;28(3):273-280.
  56. Gudrun O, Urdal H, Tollefsen AF, Kotsadam A, Belbo R, Ormhaug CM. Armed conflict and maternal health care Micro-level evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. San Francisco: American Political Science Association; 2015.
  57. Deborah D. Reproductive Health and Repatriation of Refugee Women in Africa: A Case of Liberian Refugee Women on Buduburam Camp. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6rt9d3vr. Published 2012.
  58. Teela KC, Mullany LC, Lee CI, et al. Community-based delivery of maternal care in conflict-affected areas of eastern Burma: perspectives from lay maternal health workers. Soc Sci Med. 2009;68(7):1332-1340. doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2009.01.033
  59. Gubbins P, de Walque D. Progress and challenges for improving child & maternal health in a post-conflict setting: the case of South Sudan. Washington, DC: Policy Brief; 2010.
  60. Basaleem HO. Women’s Reproductive Health Seeking Behavior in Four Districts in Sana’a, Yemen: Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis. J Community Med Health Educ. 2012;2(5):153. doi:10.4172/2161-0711.1000153
  61. Dhaher E, Mikolajczyk RT, Maxwell AE, Kramer A. Factors associated with lack of postnatal care among Palestinian women: A cross-sectional study of three clinics in the West Bank. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2008;8(1):26. doi:10.1186/1471-2393-8-26
  62. Ranson K, Poletti T, Bornemisza O, Sondorp E. Promoting health equity in conflict-affected fragile states. Geneva: WHO; 2007.
  63. Brasington A, Abdelmegeid A, Dwivedi V, et al. Promoting healthy behaviors among Egyptian mothers: a quasi-experimental study of a health communication package delivered by community organizations. PLoS One. 2016;11(3):e0151783. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0151783
  64. Varley E. Targeted doctors, missing patients: obstetric health services and sectarian conflict in northern Pakistan. Soc Sci Med. 2010;70(1):61-70. doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2009.09.028
  65. Chong N. Displaced and Disrupted: Closing the Gaps in Maternal Health in Conflicts and Crises. News Security Beat. 2016. https://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2016/12/displaced-disrupted-closing-gaps-maternal-health-conflicts-crises/.
  66. IMD. Health in Fragile Environments. https://www.imd.org/globalassets/publications/insightsimd/docs/62.-icrc-health-in-fragile-environments---ss-08-12-2016.pdf. Published 2016.
  67. Lee RB. Delivering maternal health care services in an internal conflict setting in Maguindanao, Philippines. Reprod Health Matters. 2008;16(31):65-74. doi:10.1016/s0968-8080(08)31346-9
  68. ISO. Name change for State of Palestine and other minor corrections. ISO 3166-1 Newsletter VI-14. http://www.iso.org/iso/iso_3166-1_newsletter_vi-14_name_change_state_of_palestine.pdf. Published 2013.
  69. Radovich E, El-Shitany A, Sholkamy H, Benova L. Rising up: Fertility trends in Egypt before and after the revolution. PLoS One. 2018;13(1):e0190148. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0190148
Volume 8, Issue 3
March 2019
Pages 158-167
  • Receive Date: 08 October 2017
  • Revise Date: 23 October 2018
  • Accept Date: 28 October 2018
  • First Publish Date: 01 March 2019